NOTE 22. COMMITMENTS, GUARANTEES, PRODUCT WARRANTIES AND OTHER LOSS CONTINGENCIES
COMMITMENTS
The GE Capital Aviation Services (GECAS) business within the Capital segment has placed multiple-year orders for various Boeing, Airbus and other aircraft manufacturers with list prices approximating $34,076 million (including 414 new aircraft with delivery dates of 21% in 2019, 19% in 2020 and 60% in 2021 through 2024) and secondary orders with airlines for used aircraft of approximately $2,534 million (including 48 used aircraft with delivery dates of 90% in 2019 and 10% in 2020) at December 31, 2018. When we purchase aircraft, it is at a contractual price, which is usually less than the aircraft manufacturer’s list price. The final payment is the contractual price less any pre-delivery payments that have been made in advance of the order. Pre-delivery payments are staged partial payments of the aircraft contractual price made by us to the manufacturer pursuant to an aircraft purchase agreement, usually 18-24 months in advance of the delivery of the aircraft. As of December 31, 2018, we have made $3,086 million of pre-delivery payments to aircraft manufacturers.

As of December 31, 2018, in our Aviation segment, we have committed to provide financing assistance of $2,654 million of future customer acquisitions of aircraft equipped with our engines.

GUARANTEES
Our guarantees are provided in the ordinary course of business. We underwrite these guarantees considering economic, liquidity and credit risk of the counterparty. We believe that the likelihood is remote that any such arrangements could have a significant adverse effect on our financial position, results of operations or liquidity. We record liabilities for guarantees at estimated fair value, generally the amount of the premium received, or if we do not receive a premium, the amount based on appraisal, observed market values or discounted cash flows. Any associated expected recoveries from third parties are recorded as other receivables, not netted against the liabilities. At December 31, 2018, we were committed under the following guarantee arrangements beyond those provided on behalf of VIEs. See Note 21 for further information.

Credit Support. At December 31, 2018, we have provided $1,502 million of credit support on behalf of certain customers or associated companies, predominantly joint ventures and partnerships, using arrangements such as standby letters of credit and performance guarantees. These arrangements enable these customers and associated companies to execute transactions or obtain desired financing arrangements with third parties. Should our customer or associated company fail to perform under the terms of the transaction or financing arrangement, we would be required to perform on their behalf. Under most such arrangements, our guarantee is secured, usually by the asset being purchased or financed, or possibly by certain other assets of the customer or associated company for the term of the related financing arrangements or transactions. The liability for such credit support was $64 million at December 31, 2018.

Indemnification Agreements – Continuing Operations. At December 31, 2018, we have $1,903 million of other indemnification commitments, including representations and warranties in sales of businesses or assets, for which we recorded a liability of $259 million.

We also have agreements that require us to fund up to $208 million at December 31, 2018 under residual value guarantees on a variety of leased equipment. Under most of our residual value guarantees, our commitment is secured by the leased asset. The liability for these indemnification agreements was $6 million.

Indemnification Agreements – Discontinued Operations At December 31, 2018, we have provided specific indemnities to buyers of GE Capital’s assets that, in the aggregate, represent a maximum potential claim of $1,880 million. The majority of these indemnifications relate to the sale of businesses and assets under the GE Capital Exit Plan. We have recorded related liabilities of $253 million, which incorporates our evaluation of risk and the likelihood of making payments under the indemnities. The recognized liabilities represent the estimated fair value of the indemnities when issued as adjusted for any subsequent probable and estimable losses. During the fourth quarter of 2018, we received a favorable court ruling related to an indemnity we provided in connection with the sale of a GE Capital business, which, if not subject to further extrajudicial actions, would reduce the amount of the maximum potential claim by $676 million. In addition, in connection with the 2015 public offering and sale of Synchrony Financial, GE Capital indemnified Synchrony Financial and its directors, officers, and employees against the liabilities of GECC's businesses other than historical liabilities of the businesses that are part of Synchrony Financial's ongoing operations.
PRODUCT WARRANTIES
We provide for estimated product warranty expenses when we sell the related products. Because warranty estimates are forecasts that are based on the best available information, mostly historical claims experience, claims costs may differ from amounts provided. An analysis of changes in the liability for product warranties follows.
(In millions)
2018

2017

2016

 
 
 
 
Balance at January 1
$
2,348

$
1,929

$
1,733

Current-year provisions
1,071

961

801

Expenditures
(960
)
(827
)
(734
)
Other changes(a)
51

286

130

Balance at December 31
$
2,510

$
2,348

$
1,929

(a)
Included $172 million related to Baker Hughes and LM Wind Power acquisitions in 2017.

OTHER LOSS CONTINGENCIES
LEGAL MATTERS
In the normal course of our business, we are involved from time to time in various arbitrations, class actions, commercial litigation, investigations and other legal, regulatory or governmental actions, including the significant matters described below. In many proceedings, it is inherently difficult to determine whether any loss is probable or even reasonably possible or to estimate the size or range of the possible loss, and accruals for legal matters are not recorded until a loss for a particular matter is considered probable and reasonably estimable. Given the nature of legal matters and the complexities involved, it is often difficult to predict and determine a meaningful estimate of loss or range of loss until we know, among other factors, the particular claims involved, the likelihood of success of our defenses to those claims, the damages or other relief sought, how discovery or other procedural considerations will affect the outcome, the settlement posture of other parties and other factors that may have a material effect on the outcome. Moreover, it is not uncommon for legal matters to be resolved over many years, during which time relevant developments and new information must be continuously evaluated.

WMC. During the fourth quarter of 2007, we completed the sale of WMC, our U.S. mortgage business. WMC substantially discontinued all new loan originations by the second quarter of 2007, and was never a loan servicer. In connection with the sale, WMC retained certain representation and warranty obligations related to loans sold to third parties prior to the disposal of the business and contractual obligations to repurchase previously sold loans that had an early payment default. All claims received by WMC for early payment default have either been resolved or are no longer being pursued.
 
The remaining active claims have been brought by securitization trustees or administrators seeking recovery from WMC for alleged breaches of representations and warranties on mortgage loans that serve as collateral for residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS). At December 31, 2018, such claims consisted of $144 million of individual claims generally submitted before the filing of a lawsuit (compared to $462 million at December 31, 2017) and $433 million of additional claims asserted against WMC in litigation without making a prior claim (Litigation Claims) (compared to $3,198 million at December 31, 2017). The total amount of these claims, $577 million, reflects the purchase price or unpaid principal balances of the loans at the time of purchase and does not give effect to pay downs or potential recoveries based upon the underlying collateral, which in many cases are substantial, nor to accrued interest or fees. WMC believes that repurchase claims brought based upon representations and warranties made more than six years before WMC was notified of the claim would be disallowed in legal proceedings under applicable law and the decisions of the New York Court of Appeals in ACE Securities Corp. v. DB Structured Products, Inc., (June 11, 2015) and Deutsche Bank National Trust Company v. Flagstar Capital Markets Corporation (October 16, 2018) on the statute of limitations period governing such claims.

Reserves related to repurchase claims made against WMC were $210 million at December 31, 2018, reflecting a net decrease to reserves in the year ended December 31, 2018 of $206 million due to settlements partially offset by incremental provisions. The reserve estimate takes into account recent settlement activity and is based upon WMC’s evaluation of the remaining exposures as a percentage of estimated lifetime mortgage loan losses within the pool of loans supporting each securitization for which timely claims have been asserted in litigation against WMC. Settlements in prior periods reduced WMC’s exposure on claims asserted in certain securitizations and the claim amounts reported above give effect to these settlements. During the first quarter of 2018, we also recorded a reserve of $1,500 million in connection with the U.S. Department of Justice's (DOJ) ongoing investigation regarding potential violations of the Financial Institutions Reform, Recovery, and Enforcement Act of 1989 (FIRREA) by WMC and GE Capital discussed in Legal Proceedings. This charge was recorded in the first quarter based upon our estimate of the loss contingency at that time, including the status of our settlement discussions with the DOJ in the first quarter and an assessment of prior settlements reached in similar matters. On January 31, 2019, GE announced that it had reached an agreement in principle with the DOJ to settle this investigation, under which GE will pay the United States a civil penalty of $1,500 million, consistent with the $1,500 million reserve recorded for this matter in the first quarter 2018.
ROLLFORWARD OF THE RESERVE RELATED TO REPURCHASE CLAIMS (In millions)
2018

2017

 
 
 
Balance at January 1
$
416

$
626

Provision
2

51

Claim resolutions / rescissions
(208
)
(261
)
Balance at December 31
$
210

$
416



WMC has also received indemnification demands, nearly all of which are unspecified, from depositors/underwriters/sponsors of RMBS in connection with lawsuits brought by RMBS investors concerning alleged misrepresentations in the securitization offering documents to which WMC is not a party, or, in two cases, involving mortgage loan repurchase claims made against RMBS sponsors. WMC believes that it has defenses to these demands.

Adverse changes to WMC’s assumptions supporting the reserve may result in an increase to these reserves. WMC estimates a range of reasonably possible loss for all WMC-related matters from approximately $50 million to $150 million over its recorded reserve at December 31, 2018. This estimate involves significant judgment and may not reflect the range of uncertainties and unpredictable outcomes inherent in litigation, including the remaining lawsuit discussed in Legal Proceedings and potential changes in WMC’s legal strategy.

As previously disclosed, it is possible that WMC will file for bankruptcy based upon developments in the remaining lawsuit and potential legal claims involving WMC. In the event of a WMC bankruptcy, GE Capital would be required to reassess its WMC consolidation analysis depending upon the specific facts and circumstances at that time, which might result in GE Capital no longer consolidating WMC’s assets and liabilities in its financial statements. In that event, GE and GE Capital would have to assess their respective direct exposure, if any, to WMC-related loss contingencies. A WMC bankruptcy would also give rise to costs and expenses, consisting of administrative expenses, legal fees, and settlements of claims against WMC.

Alstom legacy matters. On November 2, 2015, we acquired the Thermal, Renewables and Grid businesses from Alstom. Prior to the acquisition, the seller was the subject of two significant cases involving anti-competitive activities and improper payments: (1) in January 2007, Alstom was fined €65 million by the European Commission for participating in a gas insulated switchgear cartel that operated from 1988 to 2004 (that fine was later reduced to €59 million), and (2) in December 2014, Alstom pled guilty in the United States to multiple violations of the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act and paid a criminal penalty of $772 million. As part of GE’s accounting for the acquisition, we established a reserve amounting to $858 million for legal and compliance matters related to the legacy business practices that were the subject of these and related cases in various jurisdictions. At December 31, 2018, this reserve balance was $889 million. The increase is primarily driven by foreign currency movements.

Regardless of jurisdiction, the allegations relate to claimed anti-competitive conduct or improper payments in the pre-acquisition period as the source of legal violations and/or damages. Given the significant litigation and compliance activity related to these matters and our ongoing efforts to resolve them, it is difficult to assess whether the disbursements will ultimately be consistent with the reserve established. The estimation of this reserve involved significant judgment and may not reflect the full range of uncertainties and unpredictable outcomes inherent in litigation and investigations of this nature, and at this time we are unable to develop a meaningful estimate of the range of reasonably possible additional losses beyond the amount of this reserve. Damages sought may include disgorgement of profits on the underlying business transactions, fines and/or penalties, interest, or other forms of resolution. Factors that can affect the ultimate amount of losses associated with these and related matters include the way cooperation is assessed and valued, prosecutorial discretion in the determination of damages, formulas for determining fines and penalties, the duration and amount of legal and investigative resources applied, political and social influences within each jurisdiction, and tax consequences of any settlements or previous deductions, among other considerations. Actual losses arising from claims in these and related matters could exceed the amount provided.

ENVIRONMENTAL, HEALTH AND SAFETY MATTERS
Our operations, like operations of other companies engaged in similar businesses, involve the use, disposal and cleanup of substances regulated under environmental protection laws. We are involved in numerous remediation actions to clean up hazardous wastes as required by federal and state laws. Liabilities for remediation costs exclude possible insurance recoveries and, when dates and amounts of such costs are not known, are not discounted. When there appears to be a range of possible costs with equal likelihood, liabilities are based on the low end of such range. It is reasonably possible that our environmental remediation exposure will exceed amounts accrued. However, due to uncertainties about the status of laws, regulations, technology and information related to individual sites, such amounts are not reasonably estimable. Total reserves related to environmental remediation and asbestos claims were $1,699 million at December 31, 2018.

Historical Timeline

Fiscal YearFiled
2018Feb 26, 2019Showing above
2017Feb 23, 2018
2016Feb 24, 2017
2015Feb 26, 2016

About Commitments Disclosures

Commitments and contingencies disclosures catalog a company's off-balance-sheet obligations and legal exposures — purchase commitments, guarantee arrangements, pending litigation, and regulatory proceedings. These items represent potential future cash outflows that may not appear as liabilities on the balance sheet until they become probable and estimable.

Key signals: litigation reserves and disclosed loss ranges quantify management's estimate of legal exposure, but unquantified "reasonably possible" losses often represent the larger risk. Watch for changes in language around pending cases — shifts from "remote" to "reasonably possible" or increases in estimated loss ranges signal deteriorating outcomes. Unconditional purchase obligations and take-or-pay contracts create fixed cost structures that reduce operational flexibility. Guarantee arrangements for subsidiaries or joint ventures can create cascading obligations. Compare the total commitment schedule against projected free cash flow to assess whether the company can meet its obligations without additional financing.