Note 11 – Fair Value Measurement

Fair value measurements

At June 30, 2019, the fair value of derivative liabilities was estimated using a lattice model that is based on the individual characteristics of our warrants, preferred and common stock, the derivative liability on the valuation date as well as assumptions for volatility, remaining expected life, risk-free interest rate and, in some cases, credit spread. The derivative liabilities are the only Level 3 fair value measures.

In a concurrent private placement on February 27, 2019, the purchasers received warrants (the “Old Warrants”) to purchase up to 347,222 shares of common stock. The Old Warrants had an exercise price of $12.20 per share, shall be exercisable on the six month anniversary of issuance and were to expire five (5) years thereafter. The Old Warrants are exercisable for cash or, solely in the absence of an effective registration statement or prospectus, by cashless exercise.

The Company accounts for stock purchase warrants as either equity instruments or derivative liabilities depending on the specific terms of the warrant agreements. Under applicable accounting guidance contained in ASU 2017-11, adopted by the Company on January 1, 2019, stock warrants are to be accounted for as equity if the warrants contain full-ratchet anti-dilution provisions. The Old Warrants issued on February 27, 2019, contained a full-ratchet anti-dilution feature but also contained other adjustment features which required that the Old Warrants be classified as a derivative liability.

The Company used a lattice model to calculate the fair value of the derivative warrants based on a probability weighted discounted cash flow model.  This model is based on future projections of the various potential outcomes. The features that were analyzed and incorporated into the model included the exercise and full reset provisions. The Old Warrants were valued as of June 30, 2019 with the following assumptions:

·

The 5 year warrants issued on February 27, 2019 (expire February 27, 2024) included with an exercise price of $12.20 (subject to adjustments – full ratchet reset and fundamental transactions).

·

The stock price would fluctuate with the Company projected volatility.

·

The holder would exercise the warrant as they become exercisable (effective registration at issuance) at target prices of the higher of 2 times the projected reset exercise price or 2 times the stock price.

·

The holder would exercise the warrant at maturity if the stock price was above the projected reset prices.

·

The next capital raise is projected to occur during 2020 (annually 12 months from issuance) at prices approximating 100% of market triggering a reset event and exercise price adjustment.

·

The fundamental transaction projected with 0% probability increasing 1% per quarter to a maximum of 10% and settlement based on the Black Scholes value.

·

The stock price would fluctuate with an annual volatility. The projected volatility curve was based on historical volatilities of the Company for the valuation period.

 

 

 

 

1 Year

    

 

 

6/30/19

 

76.1

%

 

The Company remeasured the fair value of the derivative Old Warrants at January 24, 2020 to $8,403,468 with the following assumptions:

·

Valuation based on 347,222 warrants with an exercise price of $12.20 

·

Lattice model based on market stock price of $8.45

·

The Holder would exercise the warrant at maturity if the stock price was above the projected exercise price.

·

An imminent reset event to $3.00 was projected based on the Company’s offering.

·

Future capital raises are projected to occur starting 1/31/21, and annually thereafter, at prices approximating 100% of market, which may trigger a reset event adjusting the exercise and the number of warrants.

·

The fundamental transaction was projected to occur 10% of the time, tested on an annual basis, with settlement equal to the Black Scholes value.

·

The stock price would fluctuate with an annual volatility. The projected volatility curve was based on historical volatility of the Company for the valuation date. The projected annual volatility for the valuation date was 106.5%.

The fair value of the New Warrants was $2,066,425 upon issuance at January 24, 2020 using the following assumptions:

·

Valuation based on 347,222 warrants with an exercise price of $3.00

·

Lattice model simulation based on market stock price of $8.45

·

The Holder would exercise the warrant at maturity if the stock price was above the projected exercise price.

·

Future capital raises are projected to occur starting 1/31/21, and annually thereafter, at prices approximating 100% of market, which may trigger a reset event adjusting the exercise and the number of warrants.

·

The fundamental transaction was projected to occur 10% of the time, tested on an annual basis, with settlement equal to the Black Scholes value.

·

The stock price would fluctuate with an annual volatility. The projected volatility curve was based on historical volatility of the Company for the valuation date. The projected annual volatility for the valuation date was 106.5%.

The 347,222 New Warrants were exercised on March 23, 2020 and March 25, 2020 pursuant to a cashless exercise provision resulting in the issuance of 180,087 shares of common stock. The Company remeasured the fair value of the new warrants just prior to their exercise.

The Company remeasured the fair value of the derivative New Warrants exercised at March 23, 2020 to $941,701 with the following assumptions: 

·

Valuation based on 266,614 warrants exercised with an exercise price of $3.00

·

Lattice model based on market stock price of $6.11

·

The Holder would exercise the warrant at maturity if the stock price was above the projected exercise price.

·

Future capital raises are projected to occur starting 4/30/21, and annually thereafter, at prices approximating 100% of market, which may trigger a reset event adjusting the exercise and the number of warrants.

·

The fundamental transaction was projected to occur 10% of the time, tested on an annual basis, with settlement equal to the Black Scholes value.

·

The stock price would fluctuate with an annual volatility. The projected volatility curve was based on historical volatility of the Company for the valuation date. The projected annual volatility for the valuation date was 122.6%.

The Company remeasured the fair value of the derivative New Warrants at March 25, 2020 to $212,180 with the following assumptions:

·

Valuation based on 80,608 warrants exercised with an exercise price of $3.00

·

Lattice model based on market stock price of $4.80

·

The Holder would exercise the warrant at maturity if the stock price was above the projected exercise price.

·

Future capital raises are projected to occur starting 4/30/21, and annually thereafter, at prices approximating 100% of market, which may trigger a reset event adjusting the exercise and the number of warrants.

·

The fundamental transaction was projected to occur 10% of the time, tested on an annual basis, with settlement equal to the Black Scholes value.

·

The stock price would fluctuate with an annual volatility. The projected volatility curve was based on historical volatility of the Company for the valuation date. The projected annual volatility for the valuation date was 123.0%.

The following table presents the activity for liabilities measured at estimated fair value using unobservable inputs for the years ended June 30, 2019 and 2020:

 

Fair Value Measurement

Using Significant

Unobservable Inputs

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

    

Obligation 

    

Derivative 

    

Derivative

 

 

to issue 

 

liability –

 

liability -

 

 

shares

 

Series C

 

warrant

Balance at July 1, 2019

 

$

 —

 

$

 —

 

$

1,645,606

Additions during the year

 

 

 —

 

 

 —

 

 

2,066,425

Change in fair value

 

 

 —

 

 

 —

 

 

5,845,313

Transfer in and/or out of Level 3

 

 

 —

 

 

 —

 

 

(9,557,344)

Balance at June 30, 2020

 

$

 —

 

$

 —

 

$

 —

 

Historical Timeline

Fiscal YearFiled
2021Oct 12, 2021Showing above
2020Oct 13, 2020
2019Aug 23, 2019
2018Oct 12, 2018
2017Sep 28, 2017
2016Sep 16, 2016

About Fair Value Disclosures

Fair value disclosures classify all assets and liabilities measured at fair value into a three-level hierarchy: Level 1 (quoted market prices), Level 2 (observable inputs like yield curves), and Level 3 (unobservable inputs requiring management estimates). The proportion of Level 3 assets directly reflects how much of the balance sheet depends on internal models rather than market evidence.

Key signals: a growing Level 3 balance relative to total fair-value assets increases valuation uncertainty and earnings volatility risk. Watch for transfers between levels — assets moving from Level 2 to Level 3 often signal deteriorating market liquidity. Unrealized gains and losses on Level 3 positions flow through earnings or other comprehensive income, so large swings deserve scrutiny. For financial institutions, examine the sensitivity disclosures that show how Level 3 valuations change under alternative assumptions. Compare the fair value of debt against its carrying amount to gauge hidden leverage.