Prairie Operating Co. Fair Value Disclosure
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●
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Level 1 valuations – Consist of observable inputs that reflect unadjusted quoted prices for identical assets or liabilities in active markets as of the
reporting date.
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●
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Level 2 valuations – Consist of observable market–based inputs or unobservable inputs that are corroborated by market data. These are inputs other than
quoted prices in active markets included in Level 1 that are either directly or indirectly observable as of the reporting date.
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●
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Level 3 valuations – Consist of unobservable inputs that are not corroborated by market data and may be used with internally developed methodologies that
result in management’s best estimate of fair value.
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Fair Value Measurement as of December 31, 2025
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||||||||||||||||
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Total
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Level 1
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Level 2
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Level 3
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|||||||||||||
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(In thousands)
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||||||||||||||||
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Assets:
|
||||||||||||||||
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Commodity derivative contracts
|
$
|
53,439 |
$
|
— |
$
|
53,439 |
$
|
— |
||||||||
|
Liabilities:
|
||||||||||||||||
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Subordinated note warrants – related party
|
$
|
316 |
$
|
— |
$
|
— |
$
|
316 |
||||||||
|
Series F convertible preferred stock embedded derivatives
|
$
|
15,853 |
$
|
— |
$
|
— |
$
|
15,853 |
||||||||
|
Series F convertible preferred stock warrants
|
$
|
90,134 |
$
|
— |
$
|
— |
$
|
90,134 |
||||||||
|
Fair Value Measurement as of December 31, 2024
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||||||||||||||||
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Total
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Level 1
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Level 2
|
Level 3
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|||||||||||||
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(In thousands)
|
||||||||||||||||
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Liabilities:
|
||||||||||||||||
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Commodity derivative contracts
|
$
|
4,395 |
$
|
— |
$
|
4,395 |
$
|
— |
||||||||
|
SEPA
|
$
|
790 |
$
|
— |
$
|
— |
$
|
790 |
||||||||
|
Senior convertible note
|
$
|
12,555 |
$
|
— |
$
|
— |
$
|
12,555 |
||||||||
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Subordinated note – related party
|
$
|
4,609 |
$
|
— |
$
|
4,609 |
$
|
— |
||||||||
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Subordinated note warrants – related party
|
$
|
4,159 |
$
|
— |
$
|
— |
$
|
4,159 |
||||||||
|
December 31,
2025
|
December 31,
2024
|
|||||||
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(In thousands)
|
||||||||
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SEPA, at the beginning of the period
|
$
|
790 |
$
|
— |
||||
|
(Gain) loss on adjustment to fair value
|
(790 |
)
|
790 |
|||||
|
SEPA, at the end of the period
|
$
|
— |
$
|
790 |
||||
|
Senior convertible note, at the beginning of the period
|
$
|
12,555 |
$
|
— |
||||
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Borrowing
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— |
14,250 |
||||||
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Repayments
|
— |
(3,748 |
)
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|||||
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Conversions
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(18,057 |
)
|
— |
|||||
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Loss on adjustment to fair value
|
5,502 |
2,053 |
||||||
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Senior convertible note, at the end of the period
|
$
|
— |
$
|
12,555 |
||||
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Subordinated note – related party, at the beginning of the period
|
$
|
4,609 |
$
|
— |
||||
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Borrowing
|
— |
5,000 |
||||||
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Repayments
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(3,214 |
)
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(1,786 |
)
|
||||
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Loss on issuance of debt
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— |
281 |
||||||
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Loss on adjustment to fair value
|
63 |
1,114 |
||||||
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Subordinated note – related party, at the end of the period
|
$
|
1,458 |
$
|
4,609 |
||||
|
Subordinated note warrants – related party, at the beginning of the period
|
$
|
4,159 |
$
|
— |
||||
|
Loss on issuance of debt
|
— |
2,758 |
||||||
|
(Gain) loss on adjustment to fair value
|
(3,843 |
)
|
1,401 |
|||||
|
Subordinated note warrants – related party, at the end of the period
|
$
|
316 |
$
|
4,159 |
||||
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Series F Preferred Stock embedded derivatives, at the beginning of the period
|
$
|
— |
$
|
— |
||||
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Embedded derivatives recognized at issuance of Series F Preferred Stock
|
25,479 |
— |
||||||
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Gain on adjustment to fair value
|
(9,626 |
)
|
— |
|||||
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Series F Preferred Stock embedded derivatives, at the end of the period
|
$
|
15,853 |
$
|
— |
||||
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Series F Preferred Stock Warrants, at the beginning of the period
|
$
|
— |
$
|
— |
||||
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Issuance of Series F Preferred Stock
|
22,115 |
— |
||||||
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Loss on adjustment to fair value
|
68,019 |
— |
||||||
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Series F Preferred Stock Warrants, at the end of the period
|
$
|
90,134 |
$
|
— |
||||
|
December 31, 2025
|
December 31, 2024
|
|||||||||||||||
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Face Value
|
Fair Value
|
Face Value
|
Fair Value
|
|||||||||||||
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(In thousands)
|
||||||||||||||||
|
SEPA
|
$
|
— |
$
|
— |
$
|
— |
$
|
790 |
||||||||
|
Senior convertible note
|
$
|
— |
$
|
— |
$
|
11,252 |
$
|
12,555 |
||||||||
|
Subordinated note – related party
|
$
|
1,458 |
$
|
1,458 |
$
|
3,214 |
$
|
4,609 |
||||||||
|
Subordinated note warrants – related party
|
$
|
— |
$
|
316 |
$
|
— |
$
|
4,159 |
||||||||
|
Series F Preferred Stock embedded derivatives
|
$
|
— |
$
|
15,853 |
$
|
— |
$
|
— |
||||||||
|
Series F Preferred Stock Warrants
|
$
|
— |
$
|
90,134 |
$
|
— |
$
|
— |
||||||||
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Convertible Note – Monte Carlo Simulation Model
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Key Inputs
|
|||
|
Stock price – as of December 31, 2024
|
$
|
6.92 |
||
|
Risk–free rate
|
4.11 |
%
|
||
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Equity volatility rate
|
90.0 |
%
|
||
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Market yield – as of December 31, 2024
|
14.6 |
%
|
||
|
Subordinated Note – Credit Default Valuation
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Key Inputs
|
|||
|
Quarterly default rate
|
5.234 |
% |
||
|
Moody’s Investor debt recovery rate – Senior convertible note
|
54.80 |
% |
||
|
Moody’s Investor debt recovery rate – Subordinated note
|
37.60 |
% |
||
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Risk–free rate
|
4.18 % – 4.79 |
% |
||
|
Discount factor
|
0.903 |
|||
| | Key Inputs | ||||||
| December 31, | |||||||
| Subordinated Note Warrants – Monte Carlo Simulation Model | 2025 | 2024 | |||||
| Time to termination (years) | 3.75 | 4.75 | |||||
| Stock price – as of period indicated | $ | 1.69 | $ | 6.92 | |||
| Exercise price | $ | 8.89 | $ | 8.89 | |||
| Risk–free rate | 3.55 | % | 4.27 | % | |||
| Equity volatility rate | 85.0 | % | 75.0 | % | |||
| Series F Preferred Stock Embedded Derivatives – Monte Carlo Simulation Model | Key Inputs | |||
| Time to termination (years) | 3.16 | |||
| Stock price – as of December 31, 2025 | $ | 1.69 | ||
| Conversion rate | 202.02 | |||
| Stated dividend rate | 12.0 | % | ||
| Transaction discount | 32.5 | % | ||
| Risk–free rate | 3.50 | % | ||
| Preferred equity volatility rate | 54.0 | % | ||
| Series F Preferred Stock Warrants – Monte Carlo Simulation Model | Key Inputs | |||
| Time to termination (years) | 5.23 | |||
| Stock price – as of December 31, 2025 | $ | 1.69 | ||
| Exercise price | $ | 2.047 | ||
| Future value of one Series F Preferred Stock Warrant share | $ | 0.31 | ||
| Risk–free rate | 3.69 | % | ||
| Equity volatility rate | 85.0 | % | ||
Historical Timeline
| Fiscal Year | Filed | |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Mar 31, 2026 | Showing above |
| 2024 | Mar 6, 2025 | |
| 2023 | Mar 19, 2024 | |
About Fair Value Disclosures
Fair value disclosures classify all assets and liabilities measured at fair value into a three-level hierarchy: Level 1 (quoted market prices), Level 2 (observable inputs like yield curves), and Level 3 (unobservable inputs requiring management estimates). The proportion of Level 3 assets directly reflects how much of the balance sheet depends on internal models rather than market evidence.
Key signals: a growing Level 3 balance relative to total fair-value assets increases valuation uncertainty and earnings volatility risk. Watch for transfers between levels — assets moving from Level 2 to Level 3 often signal deteriorating market liquidity. Unrealized gains and losses on Level 3 positions flow through earnings or other comprehensive income, so large swings deserve scrutiny. For financial institutions, examine the sensitivity disclosures that show how Level 3 valuations change under alternative assumptions. Compare the fair value of debt against its carrying amount to gauge hidden leverage.